Live Track Record
Every alert. Every outcome. Public.
We replay every published alert against actual market price action since it went out — TP1 hits, moon shots, stop-outs, and live trades. No cherry-picking.
NOTE
These are live published alerts — algorithm candidates that also passed the desk's vetting (sentiment, conviction, timing). For the pure-algorithm performance before any human filter, see the 12-month backtest →.
Tracking since May 4, 2026 · 52 published alerts in the last 90 days
Live right now
6/10in profit
Avg across live book
+2.36%
Best live trade
+12.76%
These are published alerts open right this moment — tickers stay behind the paywall. Subscribers see the names.
☕ Steady tier
LIVE · POST-DESK-VETTING
Win Rate
100%
Avg Return
+4.71%
🌙 Moons
0
Closed
1W · 0L
1 total · best trade +4.71% · algo-only: 87.5% WR
Small live sample — algo's 87.5% is the more statistically robust number here.
🚀 Moonshot tier
LIVE · POST-DESK-VETTING
Win Rate
84.3%
Avg Return
+14.81%
🌙 Moons
17
Closed
43W · 8L
51 total · best trade +89.1% · algo-only: 59.3% WR
Blended WR
84.6%
Avg Return
+14.62%
🌙 Moon Hits
17
Closed
44 W · 8 L
Live
10
Risk profile
How bad can it get? Look at the worst case, not just the average.
Worst single trade
-10%
Avg of losing trades
-9.03%
Stops held
8 / 8
Stops breached
0
✓ Every loss closed at or above the published stop — no gap-down disasters in this window.
Hold window
How long do you have to babysit a position?
Average hold
19.6 days
Fastest win
1 day
Longest hold
86 days
Max hold by design: ☕ Steady 15d · 🚀 Moonshot 25d — trades that hit TP1 close earlier; trades that hit stop close immediately.
The desk's edge
Our analyst picks beat the raw algorithm by +39 percentage points.
The screener flagged 281 candidates in this window. The desk shipped 60 of them — 86.7% won. Had we published every candidate the algo found, win rate would have been just 47.7%.
+39pp
Desk vetting lift
✓ Shipped · Oct 5
VST+0.6%
TP1 hit · Moonshot tier
✗ Passed on · Oct 14
OKTA-10.0%
Stop hit · Moonshot tier · subscribers never saw it
52 published alerts in the last 90 days · 52 closed · 10 still in-flight · cross-class duplicates de-duped
How the scoring model works
One scoring model. Ten signals. Weighted and scored on every tick. When enough signals agree, an alert publishes. The number of confirmed signals is what sorts the alert into Steady (confirmed, tight setups) or Moonshot (full stack aligned, rarer setups with bigger upside).
- Institutional Flow — sees when large accounts start accumulating
- Pressure Release — pinpoints the moment a stock breaks its holding pattern
- Trend Stack — filters for stocks with structural strength beneath them
- Momentum Posture — screens out the exhausted moves, keeps the fresh ones
- Ignition — waits for the confluence that historically precedes the run
- Entry Zone — flags the exact price range where risk/reward is asymmetric
- Coiled Spring — our proprietary compression signal detects the calm before the storm
- Stealth Loading — we track the footprints big buyers leave before the crowd notices
- Relative Lift — spots stocks quietly outperforming while everyone's watching something else
- Conviction Stack — pulls insider filings, short-interest pressure, and catalyst calendars into one score
Steady
Confirmed signals aligned. TP1 +2.5% · Moon +12% · Stop −7%
Moonshot
Full stack aligned. TP1 +6% · Moon +20% · Stop −10%
| Symbol | Score | Class | Tier | Alert | Entry | TP1 | Moon | Stop | Days | Outcome | Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VST | 86STRONG BUY | MOONSHOT | small | 2026-10-05 | $142.58 | $151.13 | $171.1 | $128.32 | 13d | WIN · TP | +0.6% |
| AFRM | 81STRONG BUY | MOONSHOT | mid | 2026-10-01 | $69.43 | $73.6 | $83.32 | $62.49 | 9d | WIN · TP | -0.26% |
| FCX | 86STRONG BUY | MOONSHOT | small | 2026-09-25 | $71.88 | $76.19 | $86.26 | $64.69 | 27d | STOP | -10% |
| NVAX | 81STRONG BUY | MOONSHOT | mid | 2026-09-21 | $10.36 | $10.98 | $12.43 | $9.32 | 14d | 🌙 MOON | +9.2% |
| DDOG | 86STRONG BUY | MOONSHOT | mid | 2026-09-21 | $237.81 | $252.08 | $285.37 | $214.03 | 23d | 🌙 MOON | +13.79% |
| RGR | 97STRONG BUY | STEADY | small | 2026-09-17 | $40.14 | $41.14 | $44.96 | $37.33 | 12d | WIN · TP | +4.71% |
| RKLB | 86STRONG BUY | MOONSHOT | small | 2026-09-16 | $63.52 | $67.33 | $76.22 | $57.17 | 21d | 🌙 MOON | +10.91% |
| BTDR | 81STRONG BUY | MOONSHOT | small | 2026-09-16 | $11.25 | $11.93 | $13.5 | $10.12 | 2d | WIN · TP | +3.92% |
| TWST | 86STRONG BUY | MOONSHOT | small | 2026-09-16 | $145.13 | $153.84 | $174.16 | $130.62 | 0d | WIN · TP | +6.68% |
| CRSR | 86STRONG BUY | MOONSHOT | small | 2026-09-08 | $12.52 | $13.27 | $15.02 | $11.27 | 22d | WIN · TP | +3.66% |
| DOCU | 81STRONG BUY | MOONSHOT | mid | 2026-09-02 | $64.83 | $68.72 | $77.8 | $58.35 | 2d | WIN · TP | +5.88% |
| IOVA | 86STRONG BUY | MOONSHOT | small | 2026-09-02 | $8.54 | $9.05 | $10.25 | $7.69 | 2d | WIN · TP | +3.55% |
| VST | 86STRONG BUY | MOONSHOT | small | 2026-09-01 | $138.08 | $146.36 | $165.7 | $124.27 | 8d | WIN · TP | +9.06% |
| GME | 86STRONG BUY | MOONSHOT | small | 2026-08-31 | $17.87 | $18.94 | $21.44 | $16.08 | 35d | WIN · time | +39.79% |
| FUBO | 86STRONG BUY | MOONSHOT | mid | 2026-08-27 | $10.29 | $10.91 | $12.35 | $9.26 | 7d | 🌙 MOON | +8.99% |
| VEEV | 86STRONG BUY | MOONSHOT | small | 2026-08-26 | $246.15 | $260.92 | $295.38 | $221.53 | 12d | 🌙 MOON | +8.36% |
| PD | 81STRONG BUY | MOONSHOT | small | 2026-08-21 | $11.96 | $12.68 | $14.35 | $10.76 | 25d | WIN · time | +21.07% |
| DUOL | 86STRONG BUY | MOONSHOT | small | 2026-08-21 | $144.2 | $152.85 | $173.04 | $129.78 | 11d | WIN · TP | +4.47% |
| CRDF | 81STRONG BUY | MOONSHOT | small | 2026-08-17 | $0.93 | $0.99 | $1.12 | $0.84 | 5d | WIN · TP | +1.61% |
| AFRM | 86STRONG BUY | MOONSHOT | mid | 2026-08-14 | $78.96 | $83.7 | $94.75 | $71.06 | 10d | WIN · TP | +3.09% |
| STEM | 81STRONG BUY | MOONSHOT | small | 2026-08-11 | $5.79 | $6.14 | $6.95 | $5.21 | 1d | WIN · TP | +17.1% |
| API | 86STRONG BUY | MOONSHOT | small | 2026-08-07 | $4.15 | $4.4 | $4.98 | $3.74 | 9d | WIN · TP | +5.29% |
| UUUU | 81STRONG BUY | MOONSHOT | small | 2026-08-06 | $12.9 | $13.67 | $15.48 | $11.61 | 8d | WIN · TP | +7.23% |
| BIRD | 81STRONG BUY | MOONSHOT | small | 2026-08-06 | $2.35 | $2.49 | $2.82 | $2.12 | 8d | WIN · TP | +3.79% |
| PUBM | 81STRONG BUY | MOONSHOT | small | 2026-08-05 | $13.46 | $14.27 | $16.15 | $12.11 | 1d | WIN · TP | +28.9% |
| RXRX | 81STRONG BUY | MOONSHOT | small | 2026-08-05 | $3.17 | $3.36 | $3.8 | $2.85 | 7d | WIN · TP | +4.73% |
| GRWG | 81STRONG BUY | MOONSHOT | small | 2026-08-05 | $1.49 | $1.58 | $1.79 | $1.34 | 7d | WIN · TP | +24.24% |
| RKLB | 86STRONG BUY | MOONSHOT | small | 2026-08-03 | $69.96 | $74.16 | $83.95 | $62.96 | 6d | 🌙 MOON | +11.7% |
| SNAP | 86STRONG BUY | MOONSHOT | mid | 2026-08-01 | $4.69 | $4.97 | $5.63 | $4.22 | 3d | 🌙 MOON | +13% |
| AXON | 86STRONG BUY | MOONSHOT | small | 2026-07-31 | $520.33 | $551.55 | $624.4 | $468.3 | 5d | 🌙 MOON | +13% |
| PERI | 86STRONG BUY | MOONSHOT | small | 2026-07-27 | $9.44 | $10.01 | $11.33 | $8.5 | 25d | LOSS · time | -2.22% |
| ACHR | 86STRONG BUY | MOONSHOT | small | 2026-07-27 | $4.89 | $5.18 | $5.87 | $4.4 | 7d | 🌙 MOON | +26.44% |
| VRDN | 86STRONG BUY | MOONSHOT | small | 2026-07-27 | $19.56 | $20.73 | $23.47 | $17.6 | 25d | WIN · time | +17.38% |
| RNG | 86STRONG BUY | MOONSHOT | small | 2026-07-08 | $40.38 | $42.8 | $48.46 | $36.34 | 25d | WIN · time | +89.1% |
| GTLB | 86STRONG BUY | MOONSHOT | mid | 2026-07-02 | $31.84 | $33.75 | $38.21 | $28.66 | 24d | 🌙 MOON | +57.02% |
| OKTA | 86STRONG BUY | MOONSHOT | mid | 2026-06-30 | $134.37 | $142.43 | $161.24 | $120.93 | 14d | WIN · TP | +4.75% |
| EDIT | 81STRONG BUY | MOONSHOT | small | 2026-06-29 | $3.17 | $3.36 | $3.8 | $2.85 | 1d | STOP | -10% |
| NET | 86STRONG BUY | MOONSHOT | mid | 2026-06-29 | $247 | $261.82 | $296.4 | $222.3 | 7d | 🌙 MOON | +18.32% |
| DDOG | 86STRONG BUY | MOONSHOT | mid | 2026-06-29 | $249.16 | $264.11 | $298.99 | $224.24 | 5d | WIN · TP | +5.73% |
| PUBM | 86STRONG BUY | MOONSHOT | small | 2026-06-25 | $11.92 | $12.64 | $14.3 | $10.73 | 7d | 🌙 MOON | +39.23% |
| CRBP | 86STRONG BUY | MOONSHOT | small | 2026-06-23 | $8.51 | $9.02 | $10.21 | $7.66 | 17d | 🌙 MOON | +15.06% |
| RNG | 86STRONG BUY | MOONSHOT | small | 2026-05-30 | $43.31 | $45.91 | $51.97 | $38.98 | 25d | WIN · time | +76.31% |
| DNA | 81STRONG BUY | MOONSHOT | small | 2026-05-30 | $9.37 | $9.93 | $11.24 | $8.43 | 1d | STOP | -10% |
| ANF | 86STRONG BUY | MOONSHOT | small | 2026-05-28 | $79.46 | $84.23 | $95.35 | $71.51 | 11d | 🌙 MOON | +35.83% |
| SOFI | 86STRONG BUY | MOONSHOT | small | 2026-05-27 | $16.17 | $17.14 | $19.4 | $14.55 | 23d | 🌙 MOON | +8.51% |
| MGNI | 86STRONG BUY | MOONSHOT | small | 2026-05-27 | $13.29 | $14.09 | $15.95 | $11.96 | 5d | 🌙 MOON | +72.01% |
| ROKU | 86STRONG BUY | MOONSHOT | mid | 2026-05-26 | $127.61 | $135.27 | $153.13 | $114.85 | 25d | WIN · time | +24.06% |
| XPEV | 86STRONG BUY | MOONSHOT | mid | 2026-05-22 | $15.63 | $16.57 | $18.76 | $14.07 | 1d | STOP | -10% |
| CLSK | 86STRONG BUY | MOONSHOT | mid | 2026-05-19 | $14.03 | $14.87 | $16.84 | $12.63 | 5d | STOP | -10% |
| MARA | 81STRONG BUY | MOONSHOT | mid | 2026-05-19 | $11.89 | $12.6 | $14.27 | $10.7 | 5d | STOP | -10% |
| CRDF | 86STRONG BUY | MOONSHOT | small | 2026-05-18 | $1.68 | $1.78 | $2.02 | $1.51 | 1d | STOP | -10% |
| ESTC | 86STRONG BUY | MOONSHOT | mid | 2026-05-08 | $50.53 | $53.56 | $60.64 | $45.48 | 10d | 🌙 MOON | +54.42% |